Understanding Crude Oil Demand
Code :ECC0060 |
Region : India |
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THE IMPACT OF PRICE ON OIL DEMAND: |
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NON-PRICE FACTORS INFLUENCING OIL DEMAND:
Other than the price, the factors that influenced the quantity of consumption of oil included income levels with the changing economic conditions. An increase in GDP (Refer to Figure IV) led to an increase in the demand for cars (Refer to Figure V). Infrastructure growth (Refer to Exhibit II) and increasing demand from the construction, logistics, e-commerce, and consumer goods sectors, also contributed to the growth in the demand for oil..
THE ROAD AHEAD:
The future demand for oil would depend on the availability of substitutes at affordable prices, and the increasing standard of living, mostly in rural areas. The number of patents filed in fossil fuel had been growing at an accelerating pace since 1990. As of December 31, 2013, there were 2,933 patents – thirteen times as many as in 1990 . However, if the substitutes for crude oil were not cost-effective, could crude oil become a Giffen good? What would be the effect on the oil industry and on the global market, if gasoline became a Giffen good?...
EXHIBITS:
Exhibit I: Trend in Oil Price Growth and Consumption
Exhibit II:Growth in Infrastructure
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